Surging U.S. Share Buybacks Offer Support to Sputtering Market

(Bloomberg) — U.S. companies are stepping up share buybacks, supporting a struggling stock market in the face of mounting geopolitical tension and fears that earnings growth will wane once the Federal Reserve raises interest rates.

The 10 biggest repurchases for S&P 500 Index companies last quarter totaled $86 billion, up almost 30% from a year earlier, led by Apple Inc., Meta Platforms Inc. and Google parent Alphabet Inc., data compiled by Bloomberg show. The list isn’t complete, with nearly 20% of index members scheduled to report data in the coming weeks.

Buybacks are surging as companies tap cash hoards amassed during the pandemic. While some investors argue the funds are better spent on the businesses, many cheer the efforts to boost per-share earnings and potentially stock prices. The trend is expected to continue in 2022, providing a market tailwind with stocks sputtering below all-time highs.

“Buybacks are back,” said Josh Jamner, an investment-strategy analyst at ClearBridge Investments. “In this period of market volatility, companies do have dry powder that they should be able to deploy.”

Many companies suspended dividends and buybacks during the pandemic to bolster balance sheets, and then seized on historically low interest rates to borrow and boost reserves. Now they’re using that cash to appease shareholders, who are pressuring executives to improve their stock prices. The S&P 500 has lost 8.8% to start 2022.

Most of last quarter’s buybacks were concentrated in a small group of companies. The technology and communication services sectors, which typically have the biggest cash flows, are leading the way. Major banks, which ratcheted up repurchases in the last year, will likely join the top spenders when they publish their numbers in the coming weeks.

Record Pace

S&P 500 firms are expected to have bought back at least $265 billion in stock in the fourth quarter. That exceeds the third quarter’s all-time high of about $235 billion, according to data from S&P Dow Jones Indices, which uses a different methodology than Bloomberg.

“Buybacks are important since they’re adding support for the market,” said Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “It still looks like it’ll be another strong year for buybacks, particularly in the first quarter.”

All told, buybacks may exceed $870 billion for 2021, according to Silverblatt’s data. That would eclipse the record of $806 billion from three years earlier, when companies used repatriated funds from the federal tax overhaul.

While this is helping stocks, the impact may be diminished because high valuations mean the purchases are hoovering up fewer shares, Silverblatt says. In addition, the expenditures aren’t necessarily so large when measured against the companies’ earnings and market values, he says.

Ramping Up

Still, buybacks show no sign of slowing. Walmart just announced plans to spend at least $10 billion on repurchases in fiscal 2023, while Twitter Inc. unveiled a $4 billion program and Exxon Mobil Corp. said it will accelerate a $10 billion plan.

For some companies, the timing hasn’t been great.

Meta, formerly Facebook, spent around $20 billion on stock repurchases in the fourth quarter, when its shares were above $300. Then it saw about $251 billion of market value erased Feb. 3, the biggest wipeout for any U.S. company ever, following disappointing earnings. It closed Friday at $206.16.

But the beat goes on. Alphabet authorized a $50 billion repurchase program last year, and then this month announced a 20-to-1 stock split, a sign management is becoming more shareholder-friendly, analysts said.

“The most important thing is the health of the company, and corporations are still in a very strong financial position with near-record cash balances,” ClearBridge’s Jamner said. “So we’ll likely continue to see greater return of capital to shareholders.”

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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