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Wall Street

Wall Street’s Top Bear Sees Another Big Down Year for S&P 500

(Bloomberg) — Equity investors hoping for a reprieve in the new year after a brutal 2022 are likely to be disappointed, according to Michael Kantrowitz at Piper Sandler & Co. The strategist, ranked No. 3 in the last year’s Institutional Investor survey, predicts that the S&P 500 will fall 16% to 3,225. The price target […]

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Stock Market Bubble
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Stock Market Timers Pony Up $25 Billion and Get Another Thrashing

(Bloomberg) — For all its twists and turns, the 2022 market has also been a story of patterns repeating. Stocks fall, shorts cover, quants buy, then everyone jumps back in just in time to get torched. It’s happening again. After a month of drawing down positions, investors poured $25 billion in stocks in the week […]

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BofA Strategists See More Pain in Store Before Stocks Reach Low

(Bloomberg) — Stock markets and the US economy will have to experience more pain before the Federal Reserve pivots away from its aggressive policy tightening, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists. Thursday’s rally in US stocks after a hot inflation print resembled a “bear hug” amid oversold conditions, high cash levels and the lack […]

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Stock Market Bulls
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US Stock Rally Is Sending a Bullish Signal

(Bloomberg) — The two-day rally in US stocks that was halted on Wednesday has triggered a bullish signal that could lift the S&P 500 by at least 3% from its last close over the coming weeks, according to a Bank of America Corp. strategist. The “immediate pattern” for the S&P 500 is now bullish with […]

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World Economy Roiled by Simultaneous Shocks Echoing 2007 Anxiety

(Bloomberg) — The world economy is showing signs of a rapid downshift as it contends with a series of shocks — some of them self-inflicted by policymakers — increasing the likelihood of another global recession and the danger of major financial disruptions. “We’re living through a period of elevated risk,” former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence […]

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Stocks Face Subdued Open as US Futures, Oil Drop: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Stocks in Asia look set for a cautious start on Monday following a jump in Treasury yields and the dollar on expectations of further aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes to tame elevated inflation. Futures dipped for Japan, Australia and Hong Kong, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 contracts declined. Global shares completed a […]

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Fed Rate Hikes
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Fed Watchers Say Markets Got It All Wrong on Powell ‘Pivot’

(Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is raising interest rates at the steepest pace in a generation and he said Wednesday that another big increase is possible. Yet investors sent stocks surging on his comments that the hikes will eventually slow. Some Fed watchers say markets read Powell’s press conference too narrowly. Economists pointed […]

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Futures Fluctuate With Stocks; Treasuries Rise: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — US equity futures fluctuated with stocks Wednesday amid rising concern that Europe will lose access to Russian gas, sending the region into a recession that could have global repercussions. Contracts on the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 erased early gains to trade slightly lower, along with the Stoxx 600 Index. In the […]

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Deserted Stock Market Shows It Can Swerve Any Way at Any Time

(Bloomberg) — A yearlong rush to the exits by institutional investors has left the stock market’s foundation delicate and given to quick swings. More evidence came at around 1 p.m. in New York Monday, when what looked like a second straight green day for the S&P 500 fell apart in minutes. While news Apple Inc. […]

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Stock Market Crash
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Morgan Stanley, Goldman Strategists See More Stock Market Losses

(Bloomberg) — Equities have yet to fully price in the risk of a recession and may have further to fall, according to Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists. Although this year’s slump in US stocks has left them more fairly priced, the S&P 500 Index needs to drop another 15-20% to about 3,000 […]

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Fed Rate Hikes
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Stock Rebound Is Powell’s Headache as Financial Conditions Ease

(Bloomberg) — A rebound in risk assets could prove to be a problem for a Federal Reserve trying to curb excesses across markets. Stocks have bounced sharply since mid-May’s lows and credit spreads have tightened back to levels seen ahead of the March liftoff of interest-rate hikes while the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index has cooled […]

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US Futures Sink as Snap Warning Hits Social Firms: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Asian stocks look set for a mixed start Tuesday as traders digest an early selloff in US equity futures and more Chinese measures to boost the world’s second-largest economy. US futures dropped with Nasdaq 100 contracts faring worst after Snapchat owner Snap Inc. warned of deteriorating macreconomic trends and said it’s unlikely to […]

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Wall Street Is as Baffled by Stocks Now as It Has Ever Been

(Bloomberg) — Seven straight weeks of losses for American stocks and now a narrowly averted collision with a bear market have left Wall Street prognosticators as lost as they were during the coronavirus crash. While this episode may lack the pandemic’s shock, it makes up for it in the sheer number of cross-currents. First and […]

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Stock Market Correction
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Losing 5% Was Best You Could Do in Stocks and Bonds This Quarter

(Bloomberg) — War, inflation and the lingering impact of a global disease made the first quarter a historically rough one for stock and bond investors. Across equity and fixed-income markets broadly, the least-bad performance among U.S. assets were declines of 4.9% in the S&P 500 and speculative credit. They were followed by a 5.6% fall […]

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S&P 500 Will Stall, Then Rise to ‘New Rally Highs,’ JPMorgan Says

(Bloomberg) — The S&P 500 Index looks set to climb to “new rally highs” in the second half of 2022, but before that it will likely limp through a soft second quarter, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. The index has rebounded from the bank’s favored medium-term range of support between 4,100 to 4,300, as […]

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