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Inflation
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Stocks Reap Double-Digit Returns After Inflation Peaks, History Shows

(Bloomberg) — The euphoria that’s sweeping through the stock market Thursday has strong justification in history: whenever inflation has peaked, double-digit gains have followed. The S&P 500 Index, which has shed 18% in 2022, surged 4.7% on Thursday after the rise in the consumer price index cooled in October by more than forecast, putting the […]

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Elections
Investing
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Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says US Midterms Set to Fuel Stock Rally

(Bloomberg) — Investors should stay bullish on equities ahead of this week’s US midterm elections, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson, the top-ranked strategist who correctly predicted this year’s slump in stocks. Polls pointing to Republicans winning at least one chamber of Congress provide a potential catalyst for lower bond yields and higher equity prices, […]

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Corporate Earnings
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Goldman Cuts S&P 500 Earnings Estimate, Citing Margin Headwinds

(Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. lowered earnings estimates for the S&P 500 Index for each year till 2024, saying margins contraction in the third-quarter signals more pain ahead. “We believe S&P 500 margins have inflected downwards and lower our estimates to incorporate greater margin contraction,” strategists including David J Kostin wrote in a note […]

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Stock Manager Paranoia Is Only Thing the Market Has Going for It

(Bloomberg) — Another week of gloom on the inflation and central bank fronts turned into a positive one for the equity faithful. Shares surged the most in four months as evidence built that active fund managers are getting worried about missing a winter rally. It’s an old investment saw that cuts surprisingly well: the idea […]

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Consumer Price Index
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JPMorgan Says Too-Hot CPI Would Put Stocks at Risk of 5% Tumble

(Bloomberg) — With a dovish Federal Reserve pivot seemingly off the table after last week’s employment report, risks for speculators are running high before Thursday’s release of the consumer price index. Anything above the prior reading of 8.3% would be big trouble for the stock market, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s trading desk. “This […]

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Corporate Earnings
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Stocks Face Brutal Earnings Season With All Eyes on Apple, Investors Say

(Bloomberg) — Investors expect this earnings season to pummel stocks further and will watch Apple Inc. in particular as a bellwether of global economic conditions. More than 60% of the 724 respondents to the latest MLIV Pulse survey say this earnings season will push the S&P 500 Index lower. That means no end in sight […]

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Bear Market
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Wall Street Warns Wishful Thinking on Fed Won’t End Bear Market

(Bloomberg) — Dip buyers wagering that the era of central-bank hawkishness has peaked got a reminder Wednesday that they are playing a dangerous game. The S&P 500 sank as much as 1.8% after the biggest two-day surge since April 2020 drew in traders tanked up on newly dovish monetary bets. While the index clawed back […]

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World Economy Roiled by Simultaneous Shocks Echoing 2007 Anxiety

(Bloomberg) — The world economy is showing signs of a rapid downshift as it contends with a series of shocks — some of them self-inflicted by policymakers — increasing the likelihood of another global recession and the danger of major financial disruptions. “We’re living through a period of elevated risk,” former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence […]

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Economic Recession
Recession
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U.S. Recession

Stock Traders Brace for a Steeper Dive as Fed Ups Recession Fear

(Bloomberg) — A hawkish Federal Reserve crushed whatever hope investors had, plunging the stock market into a doom spiral last week and sparking traders’ fears that even more losses are on the way. Any hopes that stocks had priced in the bulk of the bad news heading into the Fed’s latest meeting are now dashed. […]

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Bear Market
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VIX

Spooked Traders Just Piled Into Stock Protection at Record Rate

(Bloomberg) — Options traders spooked by turmoil across Wall Street snapped up protection against further losses in stocks at the fastest pace on record. More than 33 million bearish contracts changed hands Friday across the board, the busiest session since data began in 1992. The largest exchange-traded fund tracking the S&P 500 (ticker SPY) also […]

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Stock Market

Goldman Slashes S&P 500 Target Citing Higher Fed Rates Path

(Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. slashed its year-end target for the S&P 500 Index to 3,600 from 4,300, arguing that a dramatic shift in the outlook for interest rates moving higher will weigh on valuations for US equities. The higher interest-rate scenario in Goldman’s valuation model supports a price-earnings multiple of 15 times, compared […]

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Inflation
Stock Market

Markets Roiled by Inflation Leave Investors With Nowhere to Hide

(Bloomberg) — For investors burned by inflation, a very bad year is starting to look even worse. As stock prices tumbled and bonds were hit with the deepest losses in decades, the surge in consumer prices turned a few corners of the financial markets into profitable refuges earlier this year. Oil prices rallied. Other commodities […]

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Stock Market Bottom
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Stocks, US Equity Futures Climb as Dollar Slides: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Stocks and US equity futures advanced Friday as investors assessed whether monetary tightening to tackle inflation in the US and Europe is getting closer to being priced in. A gauge of dollar strength dropped the most in a month. Europe’s Stoxx 600 Index jumped more than 1.5% as miners rallied on optimism over […]

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Stock Market Bubble
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Stocks Sink as US Two-Year Yield Scales 2007 High: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — US equity futures slid along with Asian stocks on Monday and the two-year Treasury yield reached the highest since 2007 after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled higher-for-longer interest rates. Contracts for the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 fell 1% or more, while bourses in Japan, South Korea and Australia shed […]

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Stock Market Bulls
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US Futures, Crude Drop as Fed Outlook Takes a Toll: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Stocks in Asia may struggle Monday on escalating threats to global economic growth, in particular the Federal Reserve’s commitment to tighter monetary settings to quell inflation. Futures pointed to soft starts for bourses in Japan, Australia and Hong Kong following the worst week for global shares since late June. US equity futures retreated, […]

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