(Bloomberg) — The bond market, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Thursday, “is not looking like a very safe place to be.” Few investors would argue with that — except, perhaps, to call it an understatement. New waves of selling engulfed the Treasury market over the past week, roiling investors and analysts who’ve […]
Read More(Bloomberg) —The Federal Reserve isn’t going to hike rates as much as markets are currently betting, according to Cathie Wood. The strategies of ARK Investment Management LLC, where Wood is founder and chief executive officer, have struggled recently amid fear of inflation, she said via video to the Seedly Personal Finance Festival in Singapore. The […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said the central bank needs to move quickly to raise interest rates to around 3.5% this year with multiple half-point hikes and that it shouldn’t rule out rate increases of 75 basis points. “More than 50 basis points is not my base case at this […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Strategists from the world’s biggest asset manager are challenging traders betting that the Federal Reserve will raise rates to around 3% next year, saying that policy makers will raise borrowing costs to 2%, but not go much further. An overly aggressive path of hikes to combat the spiraling cost of living may backfire, […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — A hawkish Federal Reserve, high inflation, war and pestilence are among the reasons to doubt the U.S. stock market rebound. Technical studies suggest such naysayers risk missing out on a run to a record high. Skeptics are presently fixated on proliferating inversions across the Treasury yield curve, where shorter-term yields exceed those for […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon called for ratcheting up sanctions against Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine and said the Federal Reserve may ultimately raise interest rates more than the market expects. The U.S. should increase sanctions “in whatever way national security experts recommend to maximize the […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Neither war, disease nor inflation are proving capable of preventing American stocks from doing what they’ve almost always done for 13 years: go up. How policy makers devoted to getting inflation under control will view that is becoming a hot topic on Wall Street. Right now, the 6.6% surge in the S&P 500 […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Global bond markets have suffered unprecedented losses since peaking last year, as central banks including the Federal Reserve look to tighten policy to combat surging inflation. The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index, a benchmark for government and corporate debt total returns, has fallen 11% from a high in January 2021. That’s the biggest decline […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — The U.S. rates market was hammered anew on Monday, with a selloff driving yields on short-dated Treasuries to one of their biggest daily jumps of the past decade after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he’s willing to enact larger hikes if needed to fight inflation. The central bank chief’s hawkish tone led […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Defying their stock-market counterparts, Treasury traders aren’t buying Jerome Powell’s upbeat pronouncements on growth. In fact, in the aftermath of Wednesday’s policy decision, one bond-market indicator of economic hardship is flashing red for the first time since the darkest days of the pandemic. After the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and signaled hikes […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — What’s safer than short-duration bonds? Even shorter duration debt. As investors brace for an increasingly aggressive Federal Reserve, money is flooding into cash-like ETFs — which are seen as relatively less vulnerable to interest-rate risk. Traders have been piling into exchange-traded funds mostly focused on ultra-short instruments like Treasury bills, while offloading ETFs […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Optimists expecting the stock market to weather the rate-hike cycle as they’ve done in the past are missing one important detail, according to Bank of America Corp.’s strategists. While U.S. equities saw positive returns during previous periods of rate increases, the key risk this time round is that the Federal Reserve will be […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Investors may be underestimating the need for “aggressive” monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve and other central banks to combat inflation, resulting in “significant risks” for markets, according to Bridgewater Associates. Following hawkish comments from the Fed Chair Jerome Powell last week, investors have brought forward expectations of tightening, pricing in five quarter-point […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may consider the first half-point interest-rate increase in more than two decades later this year if he needs a “shock and awe” approach to counter persistently high inflation that risks feeding into Americans’ psychology. The Fed has penciled March in for its first rate hike since 2018 and […]
Read More(Bloomberg) –Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell fired the starting gun for potentially the biggest and fastest tightening of global monetary policy in years. His hawkish shift included not ruling out U.S. rate hikes at every meeting for the rest of 2022. Over the next week, about a half dozen other central banks, including the Bank […]
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