(Bloomberg) — Investors should stay wary of US stocks and bonds as inflation remains a threat and recession looms, according to Rebecca Patterson, chief investment strategist at Bridgewater Associates. The stock market, which finished its best month since November 2020, has mistakenly given the benefit of the doubt to the Federal Reserve’s ability to engineer […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is raising interest rates at the steepest pace in a generation and he said Wednesday that another big increase is possible. Yet investors sent stocks surging on his comments that the hikes will eventually slow. Some Fed watchers say markets read Powell’s press conference too narrowly. Economists pointed […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — A yearlong rush to the exits by institutional investors has left the stock market’s foundation delicate and given to quick swings. More evidence came at around 1 p.m. in New York Monday, when what looked like a second straight green day for the S&P 500 fell apart in minutes. While news Apple Inc. […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — It’s been a chaotic, and costly, time for many investors. But 2022 is only half over and the stocks tale will probably have more twists and turns before the year is up. Coming off the worst first-half since 1970, US equities now face a triple whammy of sticky inflation, recession risks and the […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Stocks extended a climb Monday, bolstered by the technology sector, as investors evaluated whether inflation is close to cresting and the chances of skirting a recession amid monetary tightening. An Asian share index jumped over 1%, helped by Chinese tech firms as well as gains in Japan. US futures inched lower in the […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Equities have yet to fully price in the risk of a recession and may have further to fall, according to Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists. Although this year’s slump in US stocks has left them more fairly priced, the S&P 500 Index needs to drop another 15-20% to about 3,000 […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Downward spiraling stocks are showing no signs of finding a floor. Brace yourself, because at least one forecasting framework says the bottom may still be a ways away. That’s an interpretation of data compiled by Leuthold Group, using a particularly bloodless standard of analysis that focuses not on investor psychology or positioning but […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Even after this year’s rapid selloff, equities are still not fully reflecting the vast risks facing corporate earnings and weaker consumer demand, according to strategists at Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. “The Equity Risk Premium does not reflect the risks to growth, which are increasing due to margin pressure and weaker […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — The stock market: buckling under the hottest inflation since 1981, battered by a historically aggressive bid to break it. Making matters worse is that bonds are beckoning as well. American equities plunged to the worst week since January after data showed US price pressures hit a fresh 40-year high in May, squashing hopes […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — When the nineties ended, an overvalued stock market took three long years to rid itself of its accumulated excess in what is now known as the dot-com crash. That a similar reckoning has needed just 14 months to play out now is a sign of how fast moving this market is — and […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Get ready for a fresh slump in the world’s most-watched stock index, as economic growth fears spiral and the Federal Reserve embarks on its biggest policy-tightening campaign in decades. With the S&P 500 flirting with a bear market last week and notching more than $1 trillion in losses, participants in the latest MLIV […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — A two-year run in stocks that began at the depths of the coronavirus panic and became one of most powerful bull markets on record is on the brink of extinction. The S&P 500 slipped as much as 2% on Friday, pushing it 20% below its record closing high on Jan. 3. The drop […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — The late Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Samuelson once quipped that Wall Street had predicted nine out of the last five recessions. This time, the stock market may be right. The US economy is starting to show signs of strain under the weight of decades-high inflation and climbing interest rates — raising the risk […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — The selloff in global risk-assets against a backdrop of surging inflation and slowing growth is only getting started, some market participants believe. Faced with an increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve, the risks posed by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and China’s strict Covid policies, the MSCI All Country World Index is nearing a bear market. […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Suspicious minds on Wall Street can be forgiven for seeing all the hallmarks of an illiquid bear-market trap in the Tuesday stock rebound. In recent months trading conditions in equities and bonds have gotten worse as money managers struggle to buy and sell in size without moving prices, with echoes of the 2020 […]
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