(Bloomberg) — Global finance chiefs gather in Washington in the coming days with the warning of a possible $4 trillion loss in the world’s economic output ringing in their ears. That’s the Germany-sized hole in the growth outlook through 2026 that International Monetary Fund chief Kristalina Georgieva identified last week as a looming risk. She’ll […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — The conventional wisdom with stock bulls is that prices will take off when the Federal Reserve wins its fight against inflation. But the end of surging consumer costs could unleash another round of bad news. A small chorus of researchers has for months warned of a potential hazard to earnings should the campaign […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — The latest bout of global financial volatility has heightened concerns about regulators’ continuing failure to resolve liquidity problems with US Treasuries — the debt that serves as a benchmark for the world. It’s getting harder and harder to buy and sell Treasuries in large quantities without those trades moving the market. Market depth, […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Dip buyers wagering that the era of central-bank hawkishness has peaked got a reminder Wednesday that they are playing a dangerous game. The S&P 500 sank as much as 1.8% after the biggest two-day surge since April 2020 drew in traders tanked up on newly dovish monetary bets. While the index clawed back […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — The two-day rally in US stocks that was halted on Wednesday has triggered a bullish signal that could lift the S&P 500 by at least 3% from its last close over the coming weeks, according to a Bank of America Corp. strategist. The “immediate pattern” for the S&P 500 is now bullish with […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Oil held a two-day surge after an OPEC+ panel recommended the biggest supply cut since 2020 to revive prices. West Texas Intermediate futures traded near $87 a barrel after jumping almost 9% over the previous two sessions. Oil briefly neared $88 after members of the producer group advised cutting as much as 2 […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — US companies hired at a solid clip in September, suggesting demand for workers remains healthy despite rising economic uncertainty. Businesses’ payrolls rose 208,000 last month after an upwardly revised 185,000 gain in August, according to data from ADP Research Institute in collaboration with Stanford Digital Economy Lab. The median forecast in a Bloomberg […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — US stocks may resume their slump as they have only just begun to price in a recession, according to Citigroup Inc.’s quant strategists. The market has turned “decidedly defensive again,” the strategists including Hong Li wrote in a note Tuesday. Recent synchronized moves suggest “equity investors are paying closer attention to the increased […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — One by one, short sellers are being forced to capitulate as market expectations grow for a slower pace of central bank tightening. Whether in stocks or bonds, bearish bets are being dealt a blow as US data begin to reflect the fallout from the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes. A dovish pivot by […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — As ever, a fast market rebound has unleashed a deluge of views on whether the move will last. Chart analysts, cognizant that no rally has survived this year’s downdraft, are generally optimistic this one has room left to run. Monday’s 2.6% surge in the S&P 500 was broad-based: 486 of its members gained. […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Tesla Inc. shares dropped in early trading after the carmaker blamed a disappointing deliveries report on shipment issues that increased the number of vehicles that were on their way to customers as the quarter came to a close. The maker of Model 3 sedans and Model Y crossovers handed over 343,830 vehicles to […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Michael J. Wilson, one of Wall Street’s biggest equity bears, says a Federal Reserve pivot to dovishness is becoming likely amid falling money supply, but such a move won’t allay concerns about earnings. “We find M2 growth in what we call the ‘danger zone’ -– the area where financial/economic accidents tend to occur,” […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Home prices in the US have taken a turn and are now posting the biggest monthly declines since 2009. Median home prices fell 0.98% in August from a month earlier, following a 1.05% drop in July, Black Knight Inc. said in a report Monday. The two periods mark the largest monthly declines since […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Governments and companies around the world are facing unprecedented costs to refinance bonds, a burden that’s set to deepen fissures in debt markets and expose more vulnerabilities among weaker borrowers. A corporate treasurer or finance minister looking to issue new notes now would likely have to pay interest that’s about 156 basis points […]
Read More(Bloomberg) — Pakistan’s small textile mills, which make products ranging from bedsheets to towels mainly for consumers in the US and Europe, are starting to shut after devastating floods wiped out its cotton crop. As many as 100 smaller mills have suspended operations due to a shortage of good quality cotton, high fuel costs, and […]
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