Inverted Yield Curve

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Treasury Yields

Treasury Strategists Expect Lower Yields, Steeper Curve in 2023

(Bloomberg) — US interest-rate strategists mostly expect that Treasuries will extend their recent rally, dragging yields lower and steepening the curve in the second half of 2023 so long as labor market conditions soften and inflation ebbs. The most bullish forecasts among those published by primary dealer firms — including predictions from Citigroup Inc., Deutsche […]

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Stock Market Update – Inverted Yield Curve – Steel Stock In Play

Market conditions are Bullish in a Bear Market as of 2022-12-13. This means traders and investors should consider trading with a Neutral or Bullish bias by buying stocks and setting tight stops. The rank of the Bear Market is -13.87 which indicates the current market conditions are Extreme, Risk of a reversal is high. The […]

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Bond Yield Curve
Bond Yields
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Trillions of Negative-Yielding Bonds Vanish

(Bloomberg) — After another wild week in global money markets, traders are betting big on the biggest regime shift in Europe in years: the end of the negative interest-rate era before 2022 is over. Fueled by a flurry of hawkish monetary signals over the past week, the interest-rate swaps market now projects the European Central […]

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Bond Yield Curve
Bond Yields
Inverted Yield Curve
Treasury Yields

Inverting Yield Curve Signals High Stakes for Fed and Investors

(Bloomberg) — Any hope that the Treasury market’s biggest quarterly loss had priced in a worst-case scenario for inflation and Federal Reserve rate hikes is looking increasingly illusory. No sooner had the first quarter ended with a 5.6% loss for U.S. government bonds, the March employment data included a bigger-than-expected drop in the unemployment rate […]

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Bond Yield Curve
Bond Yields
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Treasury Yields

U.S. Yield Curve Flattens as Traders Mull Half-Point March Hike

(Bloomberg) — The Treasury yield curve flattened to the lowest level in over a year on Monday as the prospect of a super-sized Federal Reserve rate increase in March gained traction, weighing disproportionately on shorter-dated tenors. Two-year U.S. yields climbed 3 basis points to about 1.2% after Raphael Bostic, the president of the Fed’s Atlanta […]

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Bond Yield Curve
Inverted Yield Curve

Why U.S. stocks keep hitting records as yield curve flattens

U.S. stock benchmarks rose to record highs Thursday as investors appeared to shrug off concerns over growth and inflation as the economy recovers from the pandemic. Although rates are moving up and inflation is higher, that really isn’t being reflected in longer-term Treasury yields, Ralph Bassett, head of North American equities at abrdn told MarketWatch […]

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These 5 Stocks Made Major Trend Reversals Last Month

These 5 stocks had a rough August, but one in the bunch looks like its ready to return to its former glory.

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Airlines
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“Interest Rates Are Telling You That There’s Some Very Bad News Down The Road”

The 30-year bond yield fell to an all-time low, a no-deal Brexit just got a whole lot more likely, Peloton released its IPO prospectus, and Costco made a big splash in China.

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Economy
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Value Stocks

ALLY is down -11% in the last month. Should you buy the dip?

One of the interesting things to observe in the economy during the late upward stages of an economic cycle is consumer lending. A struggling economy usually prompts the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in an effort to encourage more business activity. Lower interest rates mean cheaper borrowing for businesses and individuals. For the purposes […]

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