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Recession
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Stock Market Risk

Stock Markets Are Overpricing Recession Risk

(Bloomberg) — Equity investors’ anxiety about a potential recession isn’t showing up in other parts of the market, which is giving JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategist Marko Kolanovic confidence in his pro-risk stance. US and European stock markets are pricing in a 70% chance that the economy will slide into recession in the near-term, according […]

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Stock Market Risk

Fearful Investors Should Buy Credit, Sell Stocks, JPMorgan Says

(Bloomberg) — Investors looking to protect themselves against more market turmoil should think about selling some blue chip companies’ shares and buying the corporations’ bonds instead, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. Such trades can generate more income for investors: yields on investment-grade corporate notes averaged 4.4% as of Monday’s close, according to Bloomberg index […]

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Stock Market Risk

Saudi Wealth Fund Scoops Up Stock Caught in Archegos Blowup

(Bloomberg) — Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund invested heavily in one of the stocks tied to the Archegos Capital Management blowup, while maintaining its biggest holdings of other U.S.-listed equities last quarter. The Public Investment Fund owned $110.8 million in Farfetch Ltd. shares at the end of December, representing a 1% stake in the London-based […]

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Stock Market Risk

Mounting Risks for S&P 500 Are Under the Surface

(Bloomberg) — More risks may be building for U.S. equities than meets the eye, Bank of America Corp. analysts said. This year’s extreme intraday market swings and fluctuations in single stocks’ value show there’s “turbulence” under the surface, equity derivatives analysts led by Gonzalo Asis said in a note on Tuesday. These gyrations have been […]

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Black Swan Manager Spitznagel Says Market Dangers Unappreciated

(Bloomberg) — Even after a correction in tech stocks and surging yields on U.S. government bonds, investors still don’t understand the risks they’re taking in equity and debt markets, according to Mark Spitznagel, manager of the best-known fund protecting against so-called black swan events. “There’s a profound lack of appreciation for how dangerous the market […]

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Cash
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CAG has picked up bullish momentum and could be set to move higher – is it a good time to buy?

One of the themes that has become more and more prevalent over the past year in the stock market is the pace of inflation. Inflation is one of those words that tends to stoke fear in the marketplace, because it is usually tied so closely with central bank monetary policy. it is also something that […]

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Consumer Discretionary
Coronavirus
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Value Stocks

BBY is down almost -25% in the last month. Should you stay away or think about buying?

If you’re like me, you’re probably more than a little bit tired of hearing all of the talk about coronavirus and its impact on daily life. That’s a big reason, I think that the market rebounded so quickly from pandemic-driven, bear market lows that took about a month to be seen from the market’s high […]

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Consumer Staples
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Restaurants
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Supermarkets
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TSN is nearing its 52-week high – is it too expensive, or still a good buy?

This week has seen the market reclaim much of the ground it gave up after Thanksgiving, as fears about the new omicron coronavirus variant have eased as indications are that while it is, indeed highly contagious, it also seems to be less severe than other variants, like delta that continue to plague global health systems. […]

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Consumer Discretionary
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Diamond jewelry
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SIG is a 2021 winner. What about 2022?

Sometimes, answering the question of whether a stock represents a legitimate, attractive value opportunity can be hard to do. A company could be struggling not only to grow its business, but may be forced to restructure its business in a way that makes most of the traditional measurables investors like to use look very unfavorable. […]

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Auto Industry
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LEA’s exposure to EV’s is an opportunity for long-term growth. Is it a good value right now?

One of the market trends that has been getting an increasing amount of attention for the past few years is in electric vehicles. It’s easy to focus on companies like Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), NIO Inc. (NIO) and others because they are the companies producing the final product – the vehicle you get to slide behind […]

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Construction
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Warren Buffett

PCAR’s new bullish rally looks like a good technical bullish set up – is it a good value as well?

One of the most successful investors in the entire history of the U.S. stock market, and arguably the most famous of our era is Warren Buffett. His annual reports for Berkshire Hathaway have long been considered required reading for any serious fundamental or value-oriented investor because of the way he outlines his views of current […]

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BWA is moving into a new upward trend. Is it a good buying opportunity?

As a value investor, the search for stocks trading at useful values never really stops, no matter whether the market is sitting at new all-time highs such as what we’ve been seeing since mid-October, or if it has been following a sustained downward trend. Extended conditions tend to elevate valuations across the board, which makes […]

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West Texas

MRO is picking up a lot of bullish momentum – is it time to buy?

Having a contrarian temperament generally means doing the opposite of what most people would do. It’s a mindset that I’ve found very useful as an investor, because while most people tend to flock to stocks that are at or near all-time highs, I’m able to find excellent long-term opportunities at much lower, bargain-level prices. It’s […]

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Value Traps

ADM’s improving fundamentals are good – do they make the stock a good value?

I’ve written quite a bit in this space about my opinion that the Consumer Staples sector – and more specifically, stocks in the Food Products and Food and Staples Retail industries – are smart places to find good values in today’s market. That’s because most of the stocks in these industries are benefitting from the […]

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Apparel
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Wellness Products

FL’s downward trend is making its bargain status stronger every day

Among the interesting trends I have been watching for most of the last two years, and that have emerged at least in part as a practical response to the global health crisis we continue to struggle with has been a shift in consumer focus towards health, wellness and fitness. Given the constant messaging about personal […]

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